Payout ratio
Dividends as a share of earnings. One minus it is the retention ratio, which with ROE sets sustainable growth; a target payout is the long-run ratio a stable dividend policy moves towards.
Where you will meet it
Payout ratio appears in 9 learning outcomes on the CFA syllabus. A few of them:
- Tell apart valuation by comparables and valuation by forecasted fundamentals
“The method of forecasted fundamentals instead derives the multiple a firm should command from its own expected growth, payout and required return, for example a justified forward P/E of payout ratio / (r - g).”
- Derive justified leading and trailing P/Es from the Gordon growth model and explain what they mean
“On forward earnings, the leading multiple is P/E = P0 ÷ E1 = (D1 ÷ E1) ÷ (r − g), the payout ratio divided by r minus g.”
- Contrast a stable dividend policy with a constant payout ratio policy and work out the dividend each would produce
“It is often modelled with a target payout adjustment, in which the expected dividend is D1 = last dividend + (expected EPS × target payout − last dividend) × adjustment factor, where the factor is one divided by the number of years over which the gap is closed.”
- Explain the growth, transition and maturity phases a business passes through
“In the transition phase, competition arrives, growth slows towards the economy's rate, margins narrow, investment needs ease and the payout ratio rises.”
See also
Retention ratio · Stable dividend policy
Practise it
Practise payout ratio until it is automatic: questions that explain every wrong option.
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