Price-to-earnings ratio
Price per share over earnings per share: what the market pays for a unit of profit. A high one can mean growth is expected or earnings are depressed, and it is meaningless as earnings near zero.
Where you will meet it
Price-to-earnings ratio appears in 26 learning outcomes on the CFA syllabus. A few of them:
- Outline the main families of equity valuation model and what each gains or gives up
“Multiplier models apply a ratio such as P/E or EV/EBITDA from peers or history; they are quick and market-based, but only say whether a share is cheap relative to something that may itself be mispriced.”
- Work out PVGO (the present value of what future growth opportunities are worth) and the share of the leading P/E it accounts for, and explain both
“Dividing by E1 splits the leading P/E into 1 ÷ r, the no-growth multiple, plus PVGO ÷ E1, the part owed to growth opportunities.”
- Set out how valuation multiples change over the business cycle
“Valuation multiples such as the price-to-earnings ratio are themselves cyclical.”
- Set out how an equity risk premium can be estimated from past data or from forward-looking inputs
“Forward-looking estimates include surveys, the Gordon growth model (forward dividend yield + expected long-term growth − government bond yield) and the supply-side model, which builds the expected return from expected inflation, real EPS growth, any change in the P/E ratio and the income return, then subtracts the bond yield.”
Practise it
Practise price-to-earnings ratio until it is automatic: questions that explain every wrong option.
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