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Argue why NAVPS, the net asset value per share, suits the valuation of listed real estate securities, and use forecast cash net operating income to estimate it

CFA® Level II · Alternative Investments · Investments in Real Estate through Publicly Traded Securities · L2.AI.3.b

The idea

Net asset value per share estimates what a REIT's properties and other assets would fetch, less its liabilities, per share. It suits REITs because their assets are marketable buildings with observable private-market prices and cap rates, and it shows whether the shares trade at a premium or discount to what the portfolio could be sold for. To estimate it, take cash NOI for the last twelve months, add a full year's income from recent acquisitions, grow it to next year and divide by the market cap rate to value the property. Add cash, land, receivables and prepaid items; subtract debt and other liabilities; divide by shares outstanding. The trap is using balance-sheet book values, which ignore years of property appreciation.

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