Contrast the FCFE model with dividend discount models
The idea
Both models value equity by discounting a flow to shareholders at the required return on equity, and both can be single-stage or multistage. The difference is the cash flow. Dividends are what shareholders actually receive and are set by the board; FCFE is the capacity to pay after investment and net borrowing. When a company pays out roughly its FCFE, the two models give similar values. When it pays far less, the dividend model suits a minority investor who receives only what is paid, while FCFE also shows what an owner who could change the payout might take out, so the choice depends on payout policy and how reliably each flow can be forecast. FCFE works for companies that pay no dividend, but it can be negative and volatile. The trap is concluding that a low-payout company is worth little without asking what happens to the cash it retains.
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- Contrast valuing a business by the free cash flow available to equity (FCFE) with valuing it by its free cash flow to the whole firm (FCFF)
- Explain whose point of view as owner the FCFE approach takes
- Explain which adjustments turn EBIT (pre-interest, pre-tax earnings), EBITDA, net income and operating cash flow (CFO) into FCFF and FCFE
- Work out FCFF and FCFE
- Set out ways of projecting FCFF and FCFE
- Explain how dividends, buybacks, new share issues and shifts in leverage can change future FCFF and FCFE
- Assess using EBITDA and net income as stand-ins for cash flow when valuing a firm
- Explain how sensitivity analysis is used in FCFF and FCFE valuation
- Explain FCFF and FCFE models with one stable-growth stage, two stages and three stages, and argue which suits a given firm's characteristics
- Estimate what a firm is worth with the free cash flow model or models that fit it
- Set out ways of working out terminal value in a valuation model with several stages
- Judge from a free cash flow valuation whether a stock is priced too high, too low or fairly