Value a common share with the residual income model and contrast when value is recognised under it and under other present value models
The idea
Intrinsic value equals current book value per share plus the present value of expected future residual income: V0 = B0 + sum of RIt ÷ (1 + r)^t, where RIt = Et − r × B(t−1). Book value grows by retained earnings, the part of each year's earnings not paid out as dividends: Bt = B(t−1) + Et − Dt. Compared with dividend and free cash flow models, residual income recognises value earlier, because current book value already accounts for much of the total and only the excess earnings are forecast. The terminal value is therefore a smaller share of the estimate, while in dividend and cash flow models most value often sits in the terminal value. The trap is charging for equity on the same year's ending book value.
In the app: 2 practice questions on this outcome, a narrated walkthrough with diagrams, spaced review that brings it back before you forget it.
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- Work out economic value added, market value added and residual income and explain what they mean
- Explain what residual income models are used for
- Explain the fundamentals that determine residual income
- Explain how residual income valuation links to the justified P/B ratio derived from forecasted fundamentals
- Work out a common share's intrinsic value with residual income models that have one constant-growth stage or several stages, and explain the result
- Back out the growth rate implied in residual income from the market P/B ratio and an estimated required return on equity
- Explain continuing residual income and defend an estimate of it at the forecast horizon in light of the firm's and industry's outlook
- Contrast residual income models with free cash flow and dividend discount models
- Explain where residual income models are strong and weak and argue for using one to value a firm's common stock
- Set out the accounting problems that arise when residual income models are applied