Explain term structure models and the uses they are put to
The idea
Term structure models describe how the short rate evolves. Equilibrium models such as Cox–Ingersoll–Ross and Vasicek derive the curve from assumed dynamics, both with mean reversion toward a long-run level. In Cox–Ingersoll–Ross volatility is proportional to the square root of the rate, so rates cannot go negative, while in Vasicek volatility is constant and negative rates are possible. Arbitrage-free models such as Ho–Lee and Kalotay–Williams–Fabozzi take today's curve as given and use a time-dependent drift to match it exactly, which suits pricing derivatives consistently with market bond prices. Ho–Lee has constant volatility and can produce negative rates; Kalotay–Williams–Fabozzi models the log of the rate, keeping it positive.
In the app: 2 practice questions on this outcome, a narrated walkthrough with diagrams, spaced review that brings it back before you forget it.
Take the free diagnostic →More in The Arbitrage-Free Valuation Framework
- Explain the idea of valuing a fixed-income instrument so that no arbitrage is possible
- Work out the arbitrage-free value of a straight fixed-coupon bond
- Explain the framework of a binomial tree for interest rates
- Explain how a binomial interest rate tree is calibrated so that it fits a given term structure
- Explain valuation by backward induction, and use it to value a fixed-income instrument from its cash flow at every node
- Contrast valuing with the zero-coupon yield curve and valuing with an arbitrage-free binomial lattice
- Explain pathwise valuation within a binomial interest rate model, and use it to value a fixed-income instrument from its cash flows on every path
- Explain how a Monte Carlo simulation of forward rates works and where it is applied