Work out underlying earnings and explain them, set out ways to normalise earnings per share (EPS), and compute normalised EPS
The idea
Reported earnings often include non-recurring items, such as restructuring charges, gains on asset sales and impairments, that distort a multiple. Underlying earnings, also called core or persistent earnings, strip these out to show the repeatable level. For cyclical companies even underlying earnings swing with the cycle, so analysts normalise EPS. The historical average EPS method averages EPS over a full cycle. The average return on equity method multiplies the average ROE over the cycle by current book value per share. The ROE method reflects changes in the company's size, so it is generally preferred when the company has grown during the cycle. The trap is excluding a charge management calls one-off when similar charges recur almost every year.
In the app: 2 practice questions on this outcome, a narrated walkthrough with diagrams, spaced review that brings it back before you forget it.
Take the free diagnostic →More in Market-Based Valuation: Price and Enterprise Value Multiples
- Contrast comparables with forecasted fundamentals as ways of applying price multiples when valuing, and set out the economic logic behind each
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- Set out why one might value a stock with dividend yield or alternative price multiples and what can go wrong
- Work out dividend yield and alternative price multiples and explain what they mean
- Explain earnings yield (E/P) and argue for its use
- Set out the fundamentals that drive dividend yield and alternative price multiples
- Use a cross-sectional regression on fundamentals to predict a P/E, explain the result, and explain where such regressions fall short
- From forecasted fundamentals, work out a stock's justified price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B) and price-to-sales (P/S) ratios and explain them
- Work out the PEG (P/E-to-growth) ratio, explain what it means and how it is used in relative valuation
- Work out terminal value for a DCF (discounted cash flow) model with several stages from price multiples and explain this use
- Judge from comparisons of multiples whether a stock is priced too high, too low or fairly
- Assess a stock with comparables and explain why fundamentals matter when applying that method
- Explain the various cash flow definitions used in multiples of price and of enterprise value (EV) and where each falls short
- Work out EV multiples, explain what they mean and assess how useful EV/EBITDA is
- Explain why valuation comparisons across borders can differ
- Explain momentum indicators and how they are used in valuation
- Explain how the median, arithmetic mean, harmonic mean and weighted harmonic mean summarise the typical level of a set of multiples